When the Supreme Leader emerges, he’ll be leading a changed Iran

After spending almost two weeks in a secret bunker somewhere in Iran during the war of Israel, the Supreme Leader, Ayatolah Ali Khamenei, 86, may want to use the possibility of truce.

It is believed to be decayed, non-communicated, for fear of Antentad Israel. Even the highest government officials apparently did not have contact with him.

It would be good to be careful to be careful, despite the fragile truce that American President Donald Trump and Emir Qatar brokers. Although President Trump allegedly told Israel not to kill Iranian Supreme Leader, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyah did not turn off.

When – or really if it appears from hiding, they will see the landscape of death and destruction. No doubt will continue to appear on state television that claims victory in the conflict. The plot will return your picture. But he will face new reality – even a new era.

The war left the country with a significantly weakener and a diminished man.

During the war, Israel quickly took control of the large of Iranian airspace and attacked his military infrastructure. The top commanders of the revolutionary guardian and the army were quickly killed.

The scope of the army’s damage is still not clear and challenges, but repeated bomb attacks of the army and revolutionary base and installation suggest significant decomposition of Iran military forces. Militarization has long spent a huge amount of nation resources.

Famous Iranian nuclear facilities that deserved the land for almost two decades of American and international sanctions, with the estimated costs of hundreds of billions of dollars, now they are Damaged from air strikes, Although it is fully difficult to assess this.

What was everything for, many ask them.

A large number of Iranians will individually keep Ayatolah Khamenia, who first became a leader in 1989. years, responsible for setting Iran to the Collar with Israel and the United States who eventually brought significant ruin their country and people.

They will blame him for the implementation of the ideological goal of the destruction of Israel – something that many Iranians do not support. They will blame him for what they perceive as nonsense – his belief that achieving nuclear status will bring his regime invincible.

Sanctions raveced the Iranian economy, reducing the upper exporter of oil into the poor and pinging the shadow of their former self.

“It’s hard to judge how long the Iranian regime can survive under such a significant stress, but it looks like the beginning of the end,” says Professor Lina Khatib, a scientist visit at Harvard University.

“But Khamenei is likely to become the last” Supreme Leader of the Islamic Republic “in full sense of the word”.

There was a stain of disagreement in progress. At the peak of the war, a semi-purpose Iran’s news agency calls that some top religious regime calls in the world of headquarters in the world, separated for Ayatollah, to intervene and bring a change in leadership.

“There will be accounts,” According to Professor, Ali Ansari, the basic director of the Institute of Iranian Studies at the University of St Andrews.

“It is quite clear that there are immense disagreements within the lead, and there is also a huge accident among ordinary people.”

During the last two weeks, many Iranians struggled with conflicting feelings of need to defend their country in relation to their deep hatred regime. They gathered for the country, not going out to defend the regime, but to take care of each other. There were reports of great solidarity and closeness.

People in cities and villages outside urban areas opened their doors to those who escaped into bombards in their cities, bathmen of infants, neighbors knocked each other to ask if they needed something.

But many people are also aware that Israel was probably looking for a change in Iran. The change of regime is what many Iranians want. They can draw line to change regime, however, changes and imposed foreign powers.

In almost 40 years of his Rule of Ayatolah Khamenei, one of the longest world’s longest ruling autocrats, determined any opposition in the country. Opposition political leaders are either in prison or escaped to the country. Abroad, opposition figures could not formulate an attitude uniting opposition to the regime.

They were inefficient in establishing any apparition of an organization that can take over the country if the occasion occurs.

And during the two weeks of war, when the failed regime could be the possibility, if the war was relentless, many believed that the probable scenario was likely to take over the opposition, but also lowering the country in chaos and lawlessness.

“It is unlikely that the Iranian regimen will be mounted through domestic opposition. The regime remains strong at home and will grow domestic oppression to disiticiot prof. Khatib.

Iranians are now afraid of the further clamp by the regime. At least six people were executed in the last two weeks since the early war with Israel about spying for Israel. Authorities say they arrested about 700 people on this charge.

One Iranian woman said the BBC Persiana What was afraid of more than death and destruction of war is a regime that was wounded and humiliated that he was pretending anger against his own people.

“If the regime cannot provide basic goods and services, then anger and frustration will be growing,” says Prof. Ansari.

“I see it as an instanced process. I don’t see it as something that will, necessarily, in a popular sense, rebuke until the bombing ends.”

Few people in Iran believe that truce will mediate on Monday, and many believe that Israel is still over now that he has complete superiority in heaven through Iran.

One thing that seemed to avoid destroying are Iranian ballistic sketchet of the silo that Israel was hardly located as they were placed in the tunnels under the mountains throughout the country.

Israeli’s Defense forces Chief Staff, Eial Zamir, said Israel launched his open attack on Iran knowing that “Iran owned about 2,500 rockets on the surface on the surface”. The Rockets that Iran fired caused significant death and destruction in Israel.

Israel will be concerned about the remaining possible 1,500 still in the hands of the Iranian side.

There is also serious concern in Tel Aviv, Washington and other western and regional capital that Iran can still rush to build a nuclear bomb, something that still denied trying to do Iran.

Although the Iran’s nuclear plant is almost certain, and they are probably worthless during the bombing of Israel and the US, Iran said that his stock of highly enriched uraniums to a safe secret place.

This stock of 60% uranium, if enriched to 90%, which is a relatively light step, is enough for about nine bombs, according to experts. Immediately before the war, Iran announced that he built another new secret enrichment plant that needed to reach the stream soon.

The Iranian parliament voted to reduce his cooperation with the UN Atomic Guard, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). This still demands approval, but if Iran passes, one step further from going out in the contract on nuclear discharge, NPT, as a stubborn that support the supreme leader to build a bomb building.

Ayatollah Khamenei can now be sure that his regime survived, only. But at the age of 86 years and sick, he also knows that his days can be numbered and may want to provide continuity of regime with a neat crossing authority – another Vir priest or even leading council.

In any case, the remaining superior commanders of the revolutionary guardian who were loyal to the Supreme Leader may request to possess the power behind the scenes.

Top Loan Picture: Pacific Press by Getty

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