What are the worst-case scenarios?


Reuters people look at a damaged building in the last attacks in Tehran, Iran.Reuters

Friday night Is Israel and Iran exchanges the air strike barrage

For now, it seems that the struggles between Israel and Iran are limited to two nations. At the United Nations and elsewhere, there were widespread calls for restraint.

But what if they fall for deaf ears? What if fighting escalate and beyond?

Here are just a few possible, worst scenarios.

America is pulling

For all American people, Iran clearly believes that American forces supported at least tacitly supported Israel attacks.

Iran could hit us goals in the Middle East – such as special forces camps in Iraq, military base in the Gulf and Diplomatic Missions in the region. Iranian Poslovnica – Hamas and Hezbollah – can be much reduced, but his support for militia in Iraq remain armed and intact.

The United States was afraid that such attacks were opportunities and withdrawed by some staff. In their public messages, the United States firmly warned Iran a consequence of any attack on American goals.

What could happen if an American citizen was killed, say, in Tel Aviv or elsewhere?

Donald Trump may have found himself forced to act. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netaniah has long been accused of trying to help us defeat him to defeat Iran.

Military analysts say that only now have bombers and bombs in bunking of bunkers that can penetrate in the deepest of Iranian nuclear facilities, especially Fords.

Trump promised his mosque electoral unit that would not start the so-called “forever wars” in the Middle East. But equally many Republicans also support the Israeli government and its view that now is the time to seek change in Tehran.

But if America becomes active fighters, it would be a huge escalation with a long, potentially disastrous consequent tail.

The bond peoples are pulled in the wolf

If Iran failed to damage the well-protected military and other goals of Israel, then could always target their missiles in the bay, especially countries that Iran believes and supports its enemies over the years.

There are a lot of energy and infrastructure goals in the region. Remember Iran was charged with the shooting of Saudi Arabia oil fields in 2019. years, and her Houthy Procises hit targets in the UAE in 2022. Years.

Since then, reconciliation has occurred between Iran and some countries in the region.

But these countries play the host of American planes. Some – discreet – they helped defend Israel from Iran’s missile attack last year.

If the Bay is attacked, then it could require that American war Alons will come to their defense and Israel.

Reuters which protesters hold an anti-war sign during protest against Israeli strike in IranReuters

The demonstrator holds a sign during protest against Israeli stroke in Iran in New York

Israel does not destroy Iran’s nuclear ability

What if the Israeli attack fails? What if Iran’s nuclear facilities are too deep, too well protected? What if 400 kilograms of 60% enriched uranium – nuclear fuel that is just a small step away from complete weapons, enough for ten bombs or something – not destroyed?

It is thought that it can be hidden deep in secret mines. Israel may have killed some nuclear scientists, but no bomb can destroy Iranian knowledge and expertise.

What if an attack of Israel persuades Iranian leadership that the only way to deter further attacks to race for nuclear ability as quickly as possible?

What if these new military leaders around the table strengthen more and less careful than their dead predecessors?

At the very least, it could force Israel to further attack, a potentially binding region in a constant circle of strike and counter strike. Israelis have a brutal phrase for this strategy; They call it “mowing the grass”.

There is a global economic shock

The price of oil is already growing.

What if Iran tried to close the Sdress Hormuz, further limiting oil movement?

What if – on the other side of the Arabian Peninsula – Houthis in Yemen doubles its efforts to attack shipping into the red sea? They are the last remaining so-called proxy ally Iranian ally with unpredictable and high risk of appetite.

Many countries around the world are already suffering the costs of a living crisis. The growing price of oil would add inflation at the global economic system that was already creaking under the severity of the Trump Tariff War.

And we don’t forget, one man who has benefits of rising oil prices is Russia who suddenly saw billions of more dollars in Kremlin treasuries to pay his war against Ukraine.

Iranian regime falls, leaving a vacuum

What if Israel managed to force the deterioration of the Islamic revolutionary regime in Iran in his long time?

Netaniahu argues that his main goal is to destroy Iran nuclear ability. But yesterday, he made it clear that his wider goal involves changing the regime.

He told “proud people Iran” that his attack “cleared the way to achieve his freedom” from what he called their “evil and oppressive regime”.

The adoption of the Iranian government could like some in the region, especially to some Israelis. But what vacuum can go? Which unforeseen consequences would be? How would a civil conflict in Iran look like?

Many can remember what happened to Iraq and Libya when a strong centralized government has been removed.

So much depends on how this war is progressing in the coming days.

How – and how much will it be hard? And what refrainment – if there are – is it – can the US be done to Israel?

The answer to these two questions will depend a lot.



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